Politics
What’s keeping Russia from starting a war with NATO?

Would Putin ever start a war with NATO?
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As the third anniversary of the Russia-Ukraine war approaches, there is growing concern about the potential for further escalation, which could have global implications.

Putin’s nightmare
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Many people believe that the Russian invasion of Ukraine ordered by Vladimir Putin could lead us to World War III. However, there’s one factor people need to consider.

Meet Admiral Sir Antony Radakin
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Royal Navy Admiral Sir Antony Radakin might be a name not many people know but, as the Chief of the Defence Staff, he’s none other than the head of the British Armed Forces.

Shocking news about possible Armageddon
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Radakin spoke in February 2024 about the possibility of a full-on conflict between the Russian Federation and the countries that make up the North Atlantic Treaty Organization. The head of the British Armed Forces responded in a way that shocked many.

Don’t hold your breath for WWIII
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The Daily Mail reported that, during an event in London’s Chatham House, Radakin confessed that not only an open war between Western Europe and Russia was not near, but it was also, in fact, very unlikely.

Putin is afraid of NATO
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The reason? Well, according to Radakin, it’s because Vladimir Putin is afraid of a direct confrontation with NATO.

‘We are safe because we are part of NATO’
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“Britain is safe. We are safe because we are part of NATO, the world’s largest and strongest alliance, and also because we are a responsible nuclear power”. Radakin assured the public, as quoted by British newspaper The Standard.

The Russian surprise
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According to The Standard, the operational head of the British Armed Forces told the audience that there were surprised how weak and inexperienced Russian troops turned out to be while on the ground in Ukraine.

Retaliation
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“The inescapable fact is that any Russian assault or incursion against NATO would prompt an overwhelming response”, Radakin stated, as quoted by Business Insider.

Russia’s force in numbers
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According to Al Jazeera, Russia was estimated to have over 1.3 million soldiers by January 2024 and overall, 2.2 million people as Russian military personnel.

Force, counterforce
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NATO, meanwhile, is reported to have some 3.5 million soldiers, with thousands already mobilized in Poland in the Baltic countries.

‘Russia will lose’
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“The biggest reason that Putin doesn’t want a conflict with NATO is because Russia will lose. And lose quickly”, assured the British Chief of the Defence Staff Tony Radakin, per Business Insider.

Hackers, spies, and other threats
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Radakin, however, believes that this doesn’t mean that Russia would be dissuaded to commit acts of cyberattack and other forms of sabotage.

Some wild predictions in the past
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It’s important to remember that, in the past, the current Chief of the British Defence Staff made some wild predictions about the turn of the war that failed to come true.

Missteps
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The Financial Times reported in July 2023 that Radakin affirmed that Russia had lost half of its combat capabilities and rejected criticism on Ukraine’s counteroffensive.

Miscalculations
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And all the way back in June 2022, German state news agency DW quoted Radakin claiming that Russia had already lost the war.

Betting against the apocalpyse
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Let’s hope Radakin is right on the money this time, otherwise all bets are off when it comes to World War III.
Politics
2027: More Than 50 Lawmakers Lose APC Reps Tickets in Major Primary Election
No fewer than 50 members of the 10th House of Representatives are unlikely to be part of the 11th Assembly after losing out in the All Progressive Congress (APC) primaries held on Saturday.
This marks one of the largest turnovers of sitting federal lawmakers since 2015 and signals intensifying internal competition within the ruling party eight months to the 2027 general elections.
While House Speaker Tajudeen Abbas (Kano) and Deputy Speaker Benjamin Kalu (Abia) successfully defended their tickets, several ranking and long-serving lawmakers were defeated, exposing strong anti-incumbent sentiment and the decisive role of state governors in candidate selection.
Major casualties
One of the biggest upsets was the defeat of House Majority Leader Julius Ihonvbere in Edo State’s Owan Federal Constituency. He polled 1,005 votes out of 7,587 cast, finishing third behind Andrew Ijegbia, who scored 3,695 votes. Abdul Oroh placed second with 1,740 votes.
In Delta State, veteran lawmaker Nicholas Mutu, who has represented Bomadi/Patani Federal Constituency since 1999, lost his re-election bid. Ngozi Okolie also lost the Aniocha/Oshimili ticket to former House Minority Leader Ndudi Elumelu.
Cross River State recorded one of the highest casualty rates, with five of eight incumbents failing to secure re-nomination.
They include three-term member Mike Etaba (Obubra/Etung), Godwin Offiono (Ogoja/Yala), Emil Inyang (Akamkpa/Biase), and Bassey Akiba (Odukpani/Calabar Municipality).
Only Peter Akpanke, Joseph Bassey, and Victor Abang won return tickets.
In Plateau State, conflicting results in Pankshin/Kanke/Kanam Federal Constituency triggered early confusion. One returning officer declared challenger John Tongshinen winner with 29,968 votes against incumbent Yusuf Gagdi’s 5,849.
The APC Plateau State primaries committee, chaired by Stella Okotete, later dismissed that declaration as unauthorised and affirmed Mr Gagdi as the authentic winner with 29,207 votes.
At a press briefing, Mrs Okotete stated that Nandom Kura was the recognised returning officer. “The returning officer approved by my committee that has gone to do fake declaration is null and void,” she said.
Other significant losses occurred in Ogun State (at least five incumbents, including Deputy Chief Whip Ibrahim Isiaka and Tunji Akinosi) and Ekiti State (three sitting members).
Politics
PDP to screen Goodluck Jonathan on Tuesday as its sole Presidential aspirant For 2027 race
The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), led by Tanimu Turaki, SAN, has scheduled to screen former president Goodluck Jonathan tomorrow, Tuesday, aMay 19, as the lone presidential candidate of party.
According to a statement from the PDP faction backed by the Oyo State Governor, Seyi Makinde, Former Vice-President Namadi Sambo, former governor of Plateau State, Jona Jang and a former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Tom Ikimi have been listed among a committee of 14 members to screen Jonathan described as a lone candidate by the party.
Other members of the committee were Chief Olabode George, Babangida Aliyu, Maryam ciroma, Zainab Maina, Josephine Anenin, Dr. Abdul Bulama, Dr. Esther Uduehi, Edo State PDP chairman, Tony Aziegbemi, Dr. Sunday Solarium and Chief Anicho Okoro, who would serve as administrative secretary of the committee.
Last week, the national Publicity Secretary of the faction, Ini Ememobong, disclosed that former president Jonathan has successfully registered as a member of the party in the fresh digital registration exercise directed by INEC.
The PDP faction also announced that it was set to screen 748 house of representatives aspirants, 198 senatorial aspirants, and 112 governorship aspirants.
The screening committee would screen 2122 states houses of assembly aspirants. The exercise will commence tomorrow, Tuesday in different states.
According to the statement, the screening exercise would take place nationwide on Tuesday, May 19, 2026, at 10:00 a.m.
The statement said the Interim National Working Committee (iNWC) has also released the names of members to serve on the Screening Committees and Screening Appeal Panels.
It added that the publication of the screening details “is in accordance with the party’s guidelines and timetable for the conduct of the 2027 general elections.”
Politics
Oshiomhole wins Edo APC senatorial primaries unopposed
A former governor and incumbent Senator, Adams Oshiomhole, along with his counterpart Senator Joe Ikpea, sailed through the All Progressives Congress senatorial primary in Edo unopposed, and securing their tickets without a single vote cast against them.
Also Omoregie Ogbeide-Ihama emerged the winner in the APC primary for the Edo South senatorial district.
Ogbeide-Ihama won in the seven local government areas of Edo South in the results announced by the Chairman of APC National Assembly Primary Election, Muhammed Ajana at the Urokpota Hall, Benin.
He polled 27,154 votes while his opponents, Senator Neda Imasuen, got 13,580, and Pastor Osagie Ize-Iyamu got 6785.
The elections were hitch-free in Edo North and Edo Central, where there was no contest against the incumbents, Senators Oshiomhole of Edo North and Ikpea of Edo Central, respectively.
Ajana at the Urokpota Hall said the collation arose from votes cast in the seven local government areas made up of 77 wards where elections were conducted by members of the committee.
He said, “There are seven local governments that make up the Edo South Senatorial District. We have heard from the Returning officers from the seven local government areas. From the collation, the cumulative result we have for Edo South Senatorial District is this; Ogbeide-Ihama with 27,154 votes, Imasuen with 13,580 votes and Ize-Iyamu with 6, 785.
“This is the total reflection of what has transpired from the ward level to the local government and the Edo South senatorial district collation centre. With this we await further directives from the National Secretariat, we have done our best by collating the results which is our mandate, to collate the results and send them to the National Secretariat.”
However, it was gathered that Ize-Iyamu emerged as the APC candidate for Edo South Senatorial race. He claimed to have clinched the party’s ticket after defeating Ogbeide-Ihama and Imasuen.
It was claimed that the Chief Returning Officer, Abubakar Muhammad Kabiru, officially declared Ize-Iyamu the winner after securing the highest number of votes cast.
On his part, the senator representing the district condemned the exercise describing it as a sham allegedly designed to favour a preferred aspirant.
Imasuen spoke while reacting to events at his polling unit in Umagbae North Ward 5, Urhokuosa where he said he was denied the opportunity to vote following what he described as a chaotic and manipulated process.
The lawmaker accused leaders of the party of openly adopting a preferred candidate ahead of the exercise and intimidating members into supporting that aspirant.
He said, “There is nothing satisfactory about this sham of election they did today and it is very unfortunate because as a loyal party member, I expected something better than this.”
He said the warning signs emerged days before the primary when some ward chairmen allegedly informed him that they had been directed not to receive him during consultations.
Imasuen claimed that some ward leaders openly told him the party had already adopted a preferred aspirant, identified as Hon. Omoregie Ogbeide-Ihama, making further consultations unnecessary.
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