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IBB, SDP, and the Political Chessboard: A Revival in Motion? By Mohammed Bello Doka

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The resurgence of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) in Nigeria’s political landscape, coinciding with General Ibrahim Babangida’s high-profile book launch, is too significant to be dismissed as mere coincidence. The man known as Maradona—for his ability to dribble through Nigeria’s complex political terrain—may once again be orchestrating a power shift from behind the scenes. With former Kaduna State Governor Nasir El-Rufai leading the charge into the SDP, and whispers of other political heavyweights preparing to follow suit, one must ask: Is the old political order being revived for 2027?

The Babangida Touch: Master of Political Re-engineering

Historically, Babangida has always played the long game. When he created the SDP and NRC in the early 1990s, the idea was to control Nigeria’s democratic transition from within. The SDP, in particular, was designed to be the party of populism—a centrist vehicle for political inclusion that attracted a broad base of progressive politicians. It was this same party that produced MKO Abiola, the presumed winner of the annulled June 12, 1993, election.

Fast forward to 2024, and the SDP is once again gaining traction, just as Babangida steps into the limelight with A Journey of Service, his autobiography. Could this be the Maradona making yet another calculated move? Is he indirectly signaling his support for the re-emergence of SDP as a viable alternative to the APC-PDP duopoly?

Osinbajo and the Book Launch: A Strategic Symbolism?

Adding to the intrigue, Babangida’s book was reviewed by former Vice President Yemi Osinbajo—a man who, despite his APC background, has been sidelined by the current administration. The choice of Osinbajo was not random. Babangida has a history of elevating those he believes can serve his long-term vision.

Osinbajo’s presence at the book launch could be read as a subtle endorsement. A professor, a pastor, and a technocrat, Osinbajo represents a different breed of leadership—one that could appeal to disillusioned Nigerians. If Babangida is indeed working to resurrect SDP as a political powerhouse, Osinbajo could become a key figure in this realignment.

Political analyst Dr. Ahmed Jibril from Ahmadu Bello University noted:
“Babangida is a kingmaker, not a spectator. His book launch wasn’t just about history—it was about shaping the future. The rise of SDP and the sudden prominence of figures like Osinbajo and El-Rufai suggest that he is, once again, pulling the strings behind the scenes.”

El-Rufai’s Defection: The Domino Effect Begins

The defection of Nasir El-Rufai from APC to SDP is the first major shift in what could be a larger political realignment. El-Rufai is not a lightweight; his departure sends a strong message that there is trouble within the ruling APC.

Moreover, El-Rufai has strong ties to Northern power brokers, many of whom still hold Babangida in high regard. His move to SDP could be the first of many, as other discontented politicians seek refuge in a party with historical legitimacy and a fresh political outlook.

Is 2027 the Return of SDP?

Given the growing dissatisfaction with APC and PDP, SDP could emerge as the “third force” many Nigerians have been yearning for. If Babangida’s fingerprints are indeed on this resurgence, we should expect:

1. More High-Profile Defections – El-Rufai is just the beginning. Other APC and PDP figures who feel sidelined may soon follow.

2. An SDP Presidential Candidate with Elite Backing – Could Osinbajo or another Babangida-endorsed figure be the face of the party in 2027?

3. A Northern-Southern Alliance – Babangida’s influence extends across the country. SDP could position itself as the unifying force Nigeria desperately needs.

Conclusion: Is Babangida’s Final Play in Motion?

Babangida may have retired from active politics, but he has never retired from influence. His book launch, the choice of Osinbajo, and the resurgence of SDP all point to a possible grand strategy. Could he be setting the stage for one last Maradona move—one that reshapes Nigeria’s political future?

The coming months will reveal whether SDP is merely a temporary refuge for disgruntled politicians or the beginning of a Babangida-backed revolution. Either way, one thing is certain: The game has begun, and the old master is still playing.

Politics

2027: More Than 50 Lawmakers Lose APC Reps Tickets in Major Primary Election

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No fewer than 50 members of the 10th House of Representatives are unlikely to be part of the 11th Assembly after losing out in the All Progressive Congress (APC) primaries held on Saturday.

This marks one of the largest turnovers of sitting federal lawmakers since 2015 and signals intensifying internal competition within the ruling party eight months to the 2027 general elections.

While House Speaker Tajudeen Abbas (Kano) and Deputy Speaker Benjamin Kalu (Abia) successfully defended their tickets, several ranking and long-serving lawmakers were defeated, exposing strong anti-incumbent sentiment and the decisive role of state governors in candidate selection.

Major casualties

One of the biggest upsets was the defeat of House Majority Leader Julius Ihonvbere in Edo State’s Owan Federal Constituency. He polled 1,005 votes out of 7,587 cast, finishing third behind Andrew Ijegbia, who scored 3,695 votes. Abdul Oroh placed second with 1,740 votes.

In Delta State, veteran lawmaker Nicholas Mutu, who has represented Bomadi/Patani Federal Constituency since 1999, lost his re-election bid. Ngozi Okolie also lost the Aniocha/Oshimili ticket to former House Minority Leader Ndudi Elumelu.

 

Cross River State recorded one of the highest casualty rates, with five of eight incumbents failing to secure re-nomination.

They include three-term member Mike Etaba (Obubra/Etung), Godwin Offiono (Ogoja/Yala), Emil Inyang (Akamkpa/Biase), and Bassey Akiba (Odukpani/Calabar Municipality).

Only Peter Akpanke, Joseph Bassey, and Victor Abang won return tickets.

In Plateau State, conflicting results in Pankshin/Kanke/Kanam Federal Constituency triggered early confusion. One returning officer declared challenger John Tongshinen winner with 29,968 votes against incumbent Yusuf Gagdi’s 5,849.

The APC Plateau State primaries committee, chaired by Stella Okotete, later dismissed that declaration as unauthorised and affirmed Mr Gagdi as the authentic winner with 29,207 votes.

At a press briefing, Mrs Okotete stated that Nandom Kura was the recognised returning officer. “The returning officer approved by my committee that has gone to do fake declaration is null and void,” she said.

Other significant losses occurred in Ogun State (at least five incumbents, including Deputy Chief Whip Ibrahim Isiaka and Tunji Akinosi) and Ekiti State (three sitting members).

 

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PDP to screen Goodluck Jonathan on Tuesday as its sole Presidential aspirant For 2027 race

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The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), led by Tanimu Turaki, SAN, has scheduled to screen former president Goodluck Jonathan tomorrow, Tuesday, aMay 19, as the lone presidential candidate of party.

According to a statement from the PDP faction backed by the Oyo State Governor, Seyi Makinde, Former Vice-President Namadi Sambo, former governor of Plateau State, Jona Jang and a former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Tom Ikimi have been listed among a committee of 14 members to screen Jonathan described as a lone candidate by the party.

Other members of the committee were Chief Olabode George, Babangida Aliyu, Maryam ciroma, Zainab Maina, Josephine Anenin, Dr. Abdul Bulama, Dr. Esther Uduehi, Edo State PDP chairman, Tony Aziegbemi, Dr. Sunday Solarium and Chief Anicho Okoro, who would serve as administrative secretary of the committee.

Last week, the national Publicity Secretary of the faction, Ini Ememobong, disclosed that former president Jonathan has successfully registered as a member of the party in the fresh digital registration exercise directed by INEC.

The PDP faction also announced that it was set to screen 748 house of representatives aspirants, 198 senatorial aspirants, and 112 governorship aspirants.

The screening committee would screen 2122 states houses of assembly aspirants. The exercise will commence tomorrow, Tuesday in different states.

According to the statement, the screening exercise would take place nationwide on Tuesday, May 19, 2026, at 10:00 a.m.

The statement said the Interim National Working Committee (iNWC) has also released the names of members to serve on the Screening Committees and Screening Appeal Panels.

It added that the publication of the screening details “is in accordance with the party’s guidelines and timetable for the conduct of the 2027 general elections.”

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Oshiomhole wins Edo APC senatorial primaries unopposed

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A former governor and incumbent Senator, Adams Oshiomhole, along with his counterpart Senator Joe Ikpea, sailed through the All Progressives Congress senatorial primary in Edo unopposed, and securing their tickets without a single vote cast against them.

Also Omoregie Ogbeide-Ihama emerged the winner in the APC primary for the Edo South senatorial district.

Ogbeide-Ihama won in the seven local government areas of Edo South in the results announced by the Chairman of APC National Assembly Primary Election, Muhammed Ajana at the Urokpota Hall, Benin.

He polled 27,154 votes while his opponents, Senator Neda Imasuen, got 13,580, and Pastor Osagie Ize-Iyamu got 6785.

The elections were hitch-free in Edo North and Edo Central, where there was no contest against the incumbents, Senators Oshiomhole of Edo North and Ikpea of Edo Central, respectively.

Ajana at the Urokpota Hall said the collation arose from votes cast in the seven local government areas made up of 77 wards where elections were conducted by members of the committee.

He said, “There are seven local governments that make up the Edo South Senatorial District. We have heard from the Returning officers from the seven local government areas. From the collation, the cumulative result we have for Edo South Senatorial District is this; Ogbeide-Ihama with 27,154 votes, Imasuen with 13,580 votes and Ize-Iyamu with 6, 785.

“This is the total reflection of what has transpired from the ward level to the local government and the Edo South senatorial district collation centre. With this we await further directives from the National Secretariat, we have done our best by collating the results which is our mandate, to collate the results and send them to the National Secretariat.”

However, it was gathered that Ize-Iyamu emerged as the APC candidate for Edo South Senatorial race. He claimed to have clinched the party’s ticket after defeating Ogbeide-Ihama and Imasuen.

It was claimed that the Chief Returning Officer, Abubakar Muhammad Kabiru, officially declared Ize-Iyamu the winner after securing the highest number of votes cast.

On his part, the senator representing the district condemned the exercise describing it as a sham allegedly designed to favour a preferred aspirant.

Imasuen spoke while reacting to events at his polling unit in Umagbae North Ward 5, Urhokuosa where he said he was denied the opportunity to vote following what he described as a chaotic and manipulated process.

The lawmaker accused leaders of the party of openly adopting a preferred candidate ahead of the exercise and intimidating members into supporting that aspirant.

He said, “There is nothing satisfactory about this sham of election they did today and it is very unfortunate because as a loyal party member, I expected something better than this.”

He said the warning signs emerged days before the primary when some ward chairmen allegedly informed him that they had been directed not to receive him during consultations.

Imasuen claimed that some ward leaders openly told him the party had already adopted a preferred aspirant, identified as Hon. Omoregie Ogbeide-Ihama, making further consultations unnecessary.

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