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Sustaining monetary, fiscal policies for bank recapitalisation

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Governor, Olayemi Cardoso

The emergence of stronger and bigger banks is one of the crucial benefits expected from the ongoing Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)-led recapitalisation of banks. The apex bank believes that achieving sustainable economic growth requires strong support from the financial system. The financial sector regulator is, therefore, keen on aligning monetary and fiscal policies to achieve government’s vision of growth for businesses and $1 trillion economy size for the country, writes Assistant Editor, COLLINS NWEZE.

 

Aligning fiscal and monetary policy objectives comes with great benefits to the economy. The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is at the centre of achieving fiscal and monetary policies collaboration and supporting the government’s plan for $1 trillion economy size.

For a government that wants to grow its economy to $1 trillion mark, the support of the financial services sector led by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Governor, Olayemi Cardoso is crucial.

The CBN boss had explained that bank recapitalisation ensures that lenders are well-capitalised, enabling them to take on greater risks, particularly in underserved markets. With stronger capital bases, banks can provide more loans and financial products to Micro Small and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), rural communities and other vulnerable segments that have previously struggled to access formal financial services.

The CBN had, on March 28, 2024 announced a two-year bank recapitalisation exercise which commenced on April 1, 2024 and is expected to end on March 31, 2026.

The recapitalisation plan requires minimum capital of N500 billion, N200 billion and N50 billion for commercial banks with international, national and regional licenses respectively.

Others included merchant banks N50 billion; non-interest banks with national license N20 billion and non-interest banks with regional license will now have N10 billion minimum capital. The 24-month timeline for compliance ends on March 31, 2026.

Cardoso said the recapitalisation policy not only strengthens financial stability but also serves as a catalyst for inclusive growth.

“By enabling banks to extend more credit to MSMEs, we enhance job creation and productivity. Furthermore, with increased capital, banks can invest in technology and innovation, crucial for driving digital financial services such as mobile money and agent banking. These technologies are important to breaking down geographic and economic barriers, bringing financial services to even the most remote areas,” he stated.

He said Nigeria has what it takes to deepen financial inclusion and support the growth of business and economy. He said the recapitalisation exercise will also support the government’s efforts to achieve a $1 trillion economy.

The CBN further underscored the importance of banking recapitalisation as a major catalyst for the achievement of the $1 trillion economy agenda of the government.

Banking sector remains robust

Cardoso explained that the banking sector remains robust, with key indicators reflecting a resilient system.

“The non-performing loan ratio remains within the prudential benchmark of five per cent, showcasing strong credit risk management. The banking sector liquidity ratio comfortably exceeds the regulatory floor of 30 per cent, a level which ensures banks are maintaining adequate cash flow to meet the needs of customers and their operations. The recent stress test conducted also reaffirmed the continued strength of our banking system,” he said.

“I am pleased to note that a significant number of banks have raised the required capital through rights issues and public offerings well ahead of the 2026 deadline. I believe that the banking sector is in a strong position to support Nigeria’s economic recovery by enabling access to credit for MSMES and supporting investment in critical sectors of our economy,” he said.

The CBN Deputy Governor, Corporate Services, Ms. Emem Usoro, said the journey to a $1 trillion economy requires structured planning, clearly defined policies, unwavering implementation, and an inclusive approach that aligns public and private sector interests.

At the just-concluded seminar organised by the CBN for business editors and financial correspondents in Abuja, Usoro said that one of the key components of the $1 trillion ambition is the recapitalisation of Nigerian banks.

She noted that banks must be sufficiently capitalised to meet the financial demands of a larger and more dynamic economy.

“As we work towards building a $1 trillion dollar economy, we must consider the recapitalisation of our banks to be able to fund, finance and power the economy, and to favourably compete globally,” Usoro said.

She further called for a collective effort from all stakeholders, adding that the financial system must be prepared to play its role in powering development.

“We should particularly pay attention to bank recapitalisation to ensure that our banks are strong, resilient and stable enough to carry out financial intermediation, and the much-needed financing of development projects and programmes,” Usoro said.

The Group Managing Director of United Bank for Africa (UBA), Mr. Oliver Alawuba described the ongoing CBN bank recapitalisation policy as both timely and essential in positioning the financial system to meet the demands of a growing and globally competitive economy.

According to Alawuba, the initiative is expected to boost the resilience of the banking sector by strengthening its capacity to withstand economic shocks such as inflation, currency volatility and global geopolitical disruptions. He noted that the policy will also place Nigerian banks on a stronger footing to finance the country’s long-term economic transformation, including funding of large-scale infrastructure and industrial projects.

Alawuba further stressed that the recapitalisation policy goes beyond regulatory compliance. It is a forward-looking strategy aimed at equipping Nigerian banks to operate at the scale and sophistication required by a trillion-dollar economy. He said the move would enhance the sector’s ability to support traditional economic drivers such as oil and gas, agriculture and manufacturing, as well as emerging sectors such as fintech, green energy and infrastructure development.

“Nigerian banks need adequate capital buffers to meet the evolving demands of these sectors. Without this, the industry cannot effectively rise to the challenge,” he said.

Alawuba further pointed out the sharp contrast between Nigerian banks and their counterparts in more advanced economies, where bank assets typically range between 70 and 150 per cent of Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In Nigeria, bank assets accounted for just 11.97 per cent of GDP as of 2024, a gap he said must be addressed if the country’s financial system is to align with international standards.

He commended the CBN’s recent directive mandating a significant increase in minimum capital thresholds, describing it as recognition of the urgent need for stronger financial institutions capable of delivering on national priorities such as infrastructure expansion, digital transformation, inclusive financial services and economic diversification.

Alawuba concluded that a robust, well-capitalised banking sector is critical for Nigeria’s aspiration to become a one trillion-dollar economy, and the recapitalisation drive is a forward-looking step to achieve that goal.

According to the Director of the Banking Supervision Department at the CBN, Olubuka  Akinwunmi provided insights into the state of the banking sector by stating that banks have so far remained within the prudential thresholds stipulated by the regulator, including benchmarks for capital adequacy ratio and non-performing loans.

“Currently, all our banks are still within the prudential thresholds that were set. And they are actively pursuing various recapitalisation efforts,” Akinwunmi said.

He said priority sectors such as agriculture, infrastructure and manufacturing are receiving attention from both the government and financial institutions, as they are crucial to achieving a trillion-dollar economy.

“This year’s national budget reflects a clear emphasis on critical sectors such as health, education, infrastructure and agriculture. Banks are taking cues from these priorities, recognising them as viable areas for business expansion,” Akinwunmi said.

On how many internationally-active banks had met the new N500 billion capital requirement, he noted that substantial progress has already been made.

“We are halfway through the journey in terms of timeline, and in terms of capital already raised; we are also halfway through. That is a positive signal,” he said.

He added that the decision to start the recapitalisation process early has helped insulate the financial system from emerging global and domestic shocks.

“The emerging global economic shifts and pressures were not lost on the management of the CBN. We started early. If we had waited till now, the challenges would have been greater. But we acted in time,” he stated.

Dr Akinwunmi expressed his confidence that the recapitalisation requirements will be met, stressing that existing shareholders’ funds continue to serve as a buffer. However, the CBN deliberately opted for fresh capital inflows, particularly from foreign investors who have shown renewed confidence in Nigeria’s financial system.

“International perception of Nigeria’s banking sector is improving. The reforms over the past year, especially around the foreign exchange regime and improved transparency regarding reserves, have improved investors’ confidence,” he said.

He cited recent disclosures on Nigeria’s net reserves and improvements in regulatory credibility as key factors that are reshaping the outlook for foreign direct investment in the banking sector.

On the Loan to Deposit Ratio (LDR), Akinwunmi explained that the current 50 per cent benchmark does not reflect a reluctance to lend but rather a contextual response to inflation and other macroeconomic challenges.

“As the macro-economic environment stabilises, banks will naturally increase lending. It’s a cautious approach to ensure that lending supports sustainable growth,” he said.

He also touched on the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR), stating that there has been marked improvement in transparency. Banks now have a clearer understanding of CRR computations, unlike in the past, which enhances predictability and compliance.

On Small and Medium Enterprises (SME) funding, he confirmed that banks have continued to make provisions, but the CBN remains actively engaged to ensure proper disbursement and sectorial targeting. Supervisory oversight, he explained, is being deployed to verify compliance and effectiveness of disbursed funds.

On incentives, he said the most powerful incentive for banks lay in the opportunities provided by a growing economy.

“A stronger bank can take on big-ticket businesses, including infrastructure financing. The current reforms, such as the infrastructure concession plans, present viable business opportunities for well-capitalised banks,” Akinwunmi said.

The capital verification process, according to him, is thorough and designed to ensure that only legitimate, unborrowed funds are used for recapitalisation. An industry-wide tracking mechanism has been established to streamline verification across institutions and enhance collaboration.

“Our examiners follow each capital trail meticulously, moving from one bank to another as necessary. Even if it’s not your bank under verification at that moment, we expect full cooperation to trace the sources of capital,” he said.

On the broader question of resilience to global shocks, he maintained that Nigerian banks are being positioned to remain attractive to investors and capable of withstanding external disruptions.

“CBN is monitoring developments closely and adjusting where necessary. The recapitalisation process is not just about compliance — it’s about long-term stability, competitiveness and economic transformation,” he said.

Business

Fuel price reduction: ‘Joy’s coming’ – Manufacturers

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Director General, Manufacturers Association of Nigeria, Segun Ajayi-Kadiri, sees the price of fuel coming down to N800.

Ekwutosblog reported recently that Dangote Petroleum Refinery slashed its ex-depot price for Premium Motor Spirit, PMS, also known as petrol, to N840 per litre.

The reduction represents a N40 decrease from the previous rate of N880 per litre.

This happened a few days after the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited, NNPCL, increased the pump price of petrolto N925 per litre in Lagos.

This decrease is also coming a week after Dangote Refinery increased the ex-depot petrol price to N880 per litre

Speaking in an interview with Channels Television, Ajayi-Kadiri said that it was a welcome development, adding that price of the product would further decrease to N800 with the modalities being put in place by Dangote Refineries.

“You cannot blame anyone for producing and ensuring effective delivery,” he said.

When asked to share his thoughts from a manufacturer’s point of view on what he sees about the long term effect, he added, “So if I may use what the Gen Z is called ‘Joy is coming’, that’s what I see.

“The long term is going to be better. I see the price coming down to 800 and that’s what manufacturers want.

“I just told you now that last year, we spent as much as 1.1 trillion in terms of providing alternatives, apart from the fact that even the quality of the products is not guaranteed.

“So in the near future, I continue to see continued reduction in the price of diesel.

“I also see a situation where other players will be encouraged to come into the field, because that is what it takes. I don’t think that we should use sentiment to dissuade any investor from improving the life and well being of the people.

 

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Nigeria projected among top-five world’s biggest economies

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Nigeria has been projected to be among the top five biggest economies in the world by 2075.

The Spectator Index disclosed in a post on Friday, quoting a Goldman Sachs’ document titled ‘The Path to 2075—Slower global growth, but convergence remains intact’.

According to the news platform, Nigeria’s economy is estimated to reach $13.1 trillion by 2075.

The report showed that Nigeria followed China ($57 trillion), India ($52.5 trillion), the United States of America ($51.5 trillion), and Indonesia ($13.7 trillion) in projected world’s biggest economies by 2075.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product grew by 3.84 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024. The country’s GDP is estimated to be $568 billion at the end of 2024 in real GDP terms.

Africa’s most populous nation is expected to reach a GDP estimate that could be $585.9 billion.

The development comes as the President Bola Tinubu administration projects a $1 trillion economy by 2030.

Meanwhile, financial analysts had expressed doubts over the possibility of Nigeria achieving a $1 trillion economy by 2030 when the country’s projected GDP growth rate is 3.2 percent.

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Dangote Sugar, Oando, other stocks push NGX to N1.185tn gains

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Oando, Dangote Sugar and other stocks have propelled Nigerian Exchange Limited, known as the Nigerian Stock Market, to a significant N1.185 trillion single-day gain.

Accordingly, NGX market capitalisation increased by 1.57 percent to reach N76.761 trillion, up from N75.576 trillion recorded on Tuesday.

Similarly, the All-Share Index (ASI) rose by 1,466.87 points, or 1.22 percent, settling at 121,257.69 from its previous close of 119,790.82.

Other stocks that fueled the bullish run on Wednesday are Cileasing, Champion Breweries, and 59 other stocks.

Consequently, Ekwutosblog reports that market breadth closed positive, with 63 gainers and 17 losers.

On the gainers’ table, Dangote Sugar rose by 10 percent, closing at N48.40, while Oando Plc also increased by 10 percent, settling at N68.75 per share. Then, Cileasing grew by 9.98 percent, finishing at N5.18, and Champion Breweries soared by 9.98 percent, ending the session at N10.91 per share.

 

Also, Computer Warehouse Group gained by 9.95 percent, closing at N11.60 per share.

Meanwhile, conversely, University Press dropped by 6.25 percent, finishing at N6.00, while RT Briscoe fell by 6.12 percent, closing at N2.30 per share.

Multiverse Mining declined by 4.89 percent, settling at N8.75, and Meyer shed 4.69 percent, ending the session at N9.15 per share.

In another level of analysis, a total of 861.67 million shares worth N26.18 billion were exchanged across 22,896 transactions.

This is compared to 868.68 million shares worth N23.71 billion that were traded across 22,207 transactions earlier.

Market data showed that transactions in the shares of Fidelity Bank topped the activity chart with 82.98 million shares worth N1.66 billion. Accordingly, Caverton Offshore Support Group followed with 64.18 million shares valued at N319.69 million, while Zenith Bank transacted 60.62 million shares worth N3.45 billion.

Also, Ja Paul Gold traded 56.26 million shares valued at N115.35 million, and Access Corporation sold 48.59 million shares worth N1.12 billion.

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