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El-Rufai shares ‘economic forecast’ predicting Nigeria’s collapse in 2026

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Former Kaduna State governor, Mallam Nasir El-Rufai on Thursday shared a dire economic projection for Nigeria, warning of an impending financial collapse in 2026 if urgent measures are not taken.

El-Rufai posted the article, titled ‘Nigeria 2026: The Year All Hell Breaks Loose’ on his official X handle on Friday.

The analysis, authored by Dr. Nnaoke Ufere, utilized machine learning models and economic simulations to forecast a possible breakdown of Nigeria’s economy by September 2026.

El-Rufai said Nigerians should take action now by sharing the article with members of the national and state assemblies.

According to the report, there is a 75 percent probability that Nigeria could spiral into a full-blown debt crisis, leading to a default on external obligations, a crash of the naira, and collapse of the banking system.

The forecast anticipates that Nigeria’s sovereign credit rating will be downgraded to junk status, triggering demands for immediate repayment from creditors and effectively cutting off access to external funding.

The article also warns that multilateral institutions like the World Bank and IMF, as well as bilateral lenders, may not respond swiftly enough to prevent a collapse, leaving the country in economic paralysis.

It further predicts that government revenues will be severely disrupted, especially if creditors seize oil shipment, Nigeria’s primary source of income, leading to states being unable to pay salaries or provide basic services.

The article went further to predict that in response to the funding shortfall, the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, may resort to excessive money printing, triggering hyperinflation and widespread economic hardship.

The projection also anticipates shortages of food, fuel and medicine, collapse of public infrastructure, and breakdown of law enforcement—paving the way for increased insecurity and unrest across the country.

“This is not speculation or alarmism,” the report warns. “It is a clear and present danger based on rigorous analysis and robust scenario simulations.”

https://x.com/elrufai/status/1951267212683084144?t=jVIwonL0_BnhmpPkceroPQ&s=19

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Politics

‘If Wike Fails To Apologize To Okinbaloye, We Will Boycott All Press Briefings’ – Broadcasters Warn

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The Independent Broadcast Association of Nigeria (IBAN) has asked the Minister of the Federal Capital Territory, Nyesom Wike, to retract a controversial remark he made about a journalist with Channels Television, Seun Okinbaloye.

IBAN, the umbrella body for independent broadcast stations in Nigeria, also warned that it may boycott all media engagements organized by the minister if he fails to issue a public apology.

In a statement signed by Ahmed Ramalan, IBAN Chairman, and Fidelis Duker, Acting General Secretary, the association expressed concern about the implications of the comment aired during a live television interview.

The controversy stemmed from a remark made by Wike during a routine media chat on Friday, when he reacted to Okinbaloye’s commentary on the trajectory of Nigeria’s democracy while watching the program Politics Today.

“If there was any way to break the screen, I would have shot him,” Wike had said.

The minister later clarified to journalists present that the statement was not a literal threat.

On Saturday, Lere Olayinka, Senior Special Assistant on Public Communications to the minister, described the comment as “hyperbolic”, arguing that it had been taken out of context by critics.

However, IBAN maintained that the remark was inappropriate for a public official, even if it was not intended as a literal threat.

The association said statements suggesting violence could easily be interpreted as intimidation of journalists.

IBAN warned that comments implying violence could contribute to a hostile environment for media practitioners.

The group noted that Nigeria currently ranks 122 out of 180 countries on the global press freedom index, adding that journalists already face numerous challenges.

According to the association, these include surveillance, attacks, and arbitrary arrests.

The association called on the minister to withdraw the remark and apologise publicly to the journalist and the wider media community.

IBAN also urged Wike to reaffirm his commitment to press freedom in accordance with Sections 22 and 39 of the 1999 Constitution.

“Should the minister fail to meet these requests within a reasonable period, IBAN will have no choice but to advise all independent broadcast stations to suspend coverage of all press briefings, media chats, and official news conferences hosted by the FCT minister,” the statement read.

Despite its warning, the association said it remains open to constructive engagement with public officials.

“We hope the minister will take the necessary corrective action so that normal coverage can continue without interruption,” IBAN added.

 

 

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EASTER CELEBRATION: Hon Success Opara Wishes Nigerians Joy, Hope, and Renewal

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In a heartfelt message, Hon Success Opara has extended warm Easter greetings to Nigerians, celebrating the resurrection of Jesus Christ. Speaking at St. Peter Anglican Church Ikengbu, Opara emphasized the significance of Easter, saying, “He is risen! May the miracle of Easter bring you renewed hope, faith, and joy. Rejoice in the promise of new life and the joy that conquered everything.”

The lawmaker prayed for Nigerians to experience the transformative power of the resurrection, urging them to find solace in the promise of eternal life. “As we commemorate this sacred occasion, let us reflect on the values of love, compassion, and forgiveness that Jesus Christ embodied,” he said.

Hon Opara’s message was filled with Easter cheer, as he wished Nigerians a joyous celebration with family and loved ones. “May the spirit of Easter fill your heart with peace, hope, and renewed faith. Happy Easter!”

The Easter celebration at St. Peter Anglican Church Ikengbu was marked with prayers, hymns, and reflections on the significance of Christ’s resurrection.

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I’m Not a Part of Any Plan to Turn Nigeria Into a One-Party State, But INEC Will Follow Court Orders, Not Political Pressure — INEC Chairman, Joash Amupitan

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The Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) Prof. Amupitan has rejected claims that the commission is being used to create a one-party state in favor of President Bola Tinubu ahead of the 2027 elections. “I am not guilty as charged,. Let me say it very clearly. I am not a party to the plan of anyone to turn Nigeria into a one-party state. By the constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, Nigeria is a multi-party state and this is recognized by the constitution and the Electoral Act,” he stated.

He cited the recent FCT area council elections, noting about ten political parties participated, including ADC, PDP, Labor Party, and Zenith Labour Party. “The democratic space remains vibrant. Parties are participating, and the elections demonstrate that competition is alive,” he said.

On disputes within the ADC and the PDP, he explained, “One of the challenges we’ve had is the issue of party leadership. And it’s something that is impacting on democracy because if those issues are not addressed on time, it can cause a lot of problem. Nobody is looking at that part that ordered the trial court to give it expeditious trial. This is an originating summons. An originating summons that could, if they had gone to court, have been decided by now because the Court of Appeal has given a specific order that it should be decided expeditiously.”

Explaining INEC’s role, he said, “So therefore, it calls to question the fact that this order has been made. They’re supposed to go back to the Federal High Court and let the Federal High Court, with that order, compel the judge to hear that case expeditiously. The Court of Appeal made a preservatory order, status quo antebellum. The commission just recorded positions before 2nd September 2025. If the court gives judgment, parties can proceed. Life goes on.”

He concluded, “The whole idea that INEC is being used to turn Nigeria into a one party state is false. INEC follows court orders, not political pressure.”

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