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A path to Ukrainian peace: Beyond exaggerated expectations

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The protracted, attritional war that Russia has waged against Ukraine for nearly three years has led analysts and political leaders alike to ponder how to end this war as soon as possible and achieve a lasting peace.

Increasingly, proposals are emerging to apply a model similar to the one implemented in Germany after World War II. Adapting to Ukraine would mean that it would never relinquish the annexed territories, and the West would never recognise these territories as Russian.

However, Ukraine would accept the reality that it cannot reclaim the occupied territories through force and would commit to a non-violent approach.

In exchange, Ukraine would demand concrete, not merely symbolic, security guarantees that Russia would not repeat its aggression against Ukraine.

Just recently, both Czech President Petr Pavel and outgoing NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg have expressed themselves along a similar vein. So, what is preventing the implementation of such a solution?

I would say that a problem lies in the exaggerated and unrealistic expectations held by Ukrainian citizens and a significant part of the democratic world.

This is a common phenomenon within the political sphere. Unrealistic expectations can be inadvertently cultivated not only by populists but also by well-intentioned politicians who make excessive promises to their constituents.

Such expectations pose a significant risk, not merely to the politicians who propagate them, but more importantly to the communities they represent, as these communities may find themselves on a perilous path with limited options for reversal.

Can we really make Putin kneel?

It appears that Ukraine has experienced precisely this phenomenon. The initial Ukrainian successes, including the defence of Kyiv against a blitzkrieg (a rapid invasion by Russian airborne troops at the outset of the war), the defence of Kharkiv, and the subsequent daring counteroffensive, led both Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and parts of the West to experience euphoria and to foster expectations of a Ukrainian victory over Russia, with Western support.

These expectations included the notion of expelling Russian forces from all occupied territories, including Crimea.

Talk of the West’s vast economic and military superiority also contributed to the illusion that, eventually, Putin will kneel.

Russian soldiers guard a pier where two Ukrainian naval vessels are moored, in Sevastopol, March 2014 AP Photo

The West is also to blame for creating these exaggerated, unrealistic expectations. Some leaders hoped to persuade Putin to back down or at least suspend his operation. In the case of Ukraine, the granting of EU candidate status was considered by many to be something that was not even on the table.

Talk of the West’s vast economic and military superiority also contributed to the illusion that, eventually, Putin will kneel.

However, it seems to me that President Zelensky also made a key mistake by not involving the Ukrainian parliamentary opposition in solving the problem.

On the contrary, there have been reports here and there that Ukrainian border guards have not allowed the leader of the opposition, former President Petro Poroshenko, to leave Ukraine.

The mayor of Kyiv, Vitali Klitschko, has repeatedly expressed his criticism of the president. There are no known joint negotiations by the wider Ukrainian political leadership to seek a common solution to the key issues of the war.

I believe Zelenskyy should do this

And that’s how misinformation spreads. For example, the idea that these are various nationalist, if not outright fascist, units of Ukrainian fighters who are preventing President Zelenskyy from making any compromises.

In reality, it is the Ukrainian president himself who has manoeuvred himself into a position where the opposition will not proactively help him, and his voters will have a hard time understanding a potential change of approach to ending the war and thus will also have a hard time accepting any compromise.

He should invite the parliamentary opposition to the negotiating table, lay his cards on it and try to find a broad political consensus among Ukrainian leaders in an open discussion on the future arrangement of relations with Russia.

Therefore, I believe that the president of Ukraine should change his approach, first and foremost towards the representatives of the Ukrainian political opposition.

Instead of the pompous global peace summits that are doomed to failure in advance, instead of the “victory plans” that President Zelenskyy is presenting to world leaders (which, it seems, are just a new version of older demands), he should organise a peace summit at home, in Kyiv.

He should invite the parliamentary opposition to the negotiating table, lay his cards on it and try to find a broad political consensus among Ukrainian leaders in an open discussion on the future arrangement of relations with Russia.

Agreeing on necessary compromises

Undoubtedly, the price for such a change in approach could be a demand from the opposition to participate in the governance of Ukraine. There may also be other political demands.

In any case, the upside of such demands would be substantial: a broad political consensus among the Ukrainian political elite, which would begin to address Ukrainian citizens in a common, unified language.

Only in this way is it possible to agree to the compromises that are necessary to end the war and establish a sustainable peace. At the same time, these compromises in no way mean capitulation or resignation to a part of Ukrainian territory.

Mikuláš Dzurinda is president of Wilfried Martens Centre for European Studies, the EPP-affiliated think-tank, and former prime minister of Slovakia.

Politics

2027: CAD Drags INEC to Court, Seeks De-Registration APP From Database

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By Dan Opara

Civic Action for Democracy, CAD, a prominent political pressure group and civic rights organisation in Nigeria, has instituted a major legal action at the Federal High Court, Owerri, Imo State, seeking an order compelling the Independent National Electoral Commission, INEC, to delist and deregister the Action Peoples Party, APP, from its register of political parties ahead of the 2027 General Elections, particularly the 2027 Imo governorship election.

The suit, filed as FHC/OW/CS/03/2026, was formally announced on Tuesday, January 20, 2026, during a world press conference addressed by CAD’s Executive Director, Mazi Franklin Ngoforo, with some members of CAD, alongside a team of senior legal practitioners.

ThePressman Newspaper and other media organisations were in attendance at the Federal High Court premises on Owerri and Port Harcourt Road.

Ngoforo disclosed that CAD’s legal action seeks twenty-one reliefs against INEC and APP, insisting that the party was legitimately deregistered by INEC on February 6, 2020, alongside seventy-three other (73) political parties.

He recalled that the Supreme Court in March 2022 upheld INEC’s constitutional powers to deregister parties that failed to meet stipulated electoral performance benchmarks.

He criticised INEC for what he described as “the fraudulent retention of a deregistered political party”, noting that the Commission had repeatedly claimed that a non-existent court injunction had prevented it from enforcing APP’s deregistration.

According to Ngoforo, CAD’s investigations revealed no evidence of such a court order, no case file, and no judicial process to support INEC’s assertions.

CAD is urging the court to order the immediate removal of APP from INEC’s database, as well as the issuance of a perpetual injunction restraining the party from participating in any electoral process.

The group is also seeking an order of mandamus compelling INEC to publish a notice confirming the party’s deregistration.

Furthermore, CAD is asking the court to compel INEC to produce the alleged interim injunction or openly admit that it never existed, and to ensure the identification and prosecution of officials involved in what CAD describes as “institutional fraud”.

The organisation has also filed a Motion on Notice for interlocutory injunction, seeking to stop APP from participating in any political activity pending the determination of the substantive suit.

Ngoforo warned that permitting APP to participate in the 2027 general elections could trigger a constitutional crisis, particularly if candidates of a deregistered party find their names on the ballot.

He maintained that APP’s participation in the 2024 local government elections in Rivers and Jigawa states was “illegal and void”.

The Executive Director of CAD, called on the new INEC Chairman, Professor Joash Amupitan, SAN, to restore credibility to the Commission and address what CAD terms “the fraudulent manipulation inherited from past INEC administrations”.

Ngoforo appealed to the judiciary, civil society organisations, the media, and the international community to closely monitor the matter, stressing that the integrity of the 2027 electoral process depends on ensuring that deregistered political parties like APP are not allowed to participate.

He emphasised that CAD’s action is a constitutional intervention aimed at safeguarding Nigeria’s democracy, not a politically motivated effort.

“This is a constitutional fight, not a partisan one. We are unrepentantly committed to ending the fraudulent retention of APP in INEC’s register. Nigeria’s democracy must never be compromised,” he stated.

The suit is expected to be assigned to a judge in the coming days, after which hearing dates will be communicated.

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GOV. UZODIMMA LIFTS BAN ON CONDUCT OF TOWN UNION ELECTIONS ACROSS IMO COMMUNITIES. NULLIFIES ALL TOWN UNION BODIES OPERATING UNDER APPOINTMENT STATUS, INSTRUCTS FOR IMMEDIATE REPLACEMENT OF EXECUTIVES WITH ELAPSED TENURES….

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By Prince Uwalaka Chimaroke
17- JAN- 2026

Governor of Imo State, Distinguished Senator Hope Uzodimma, has approved the immediate resumption of Town Union Government elections in all autonomous communities across the state, effectively bringing to an end the embargo that had stalled the process for some time.

The policy shift signals a renewed commitment to strengthening grassroots democracy and repositioning community administration in line with constitutional and statutory provisions governing Town Unions in Imo State.

Under the directive of the Imo Shared Prosperity Administration, popularly known as the 3R’s Agenda, the Governor has instructed the Ministry of Local Government and Chieftaincy Affairs, headed by Honourable Commissioner Mrs. Rubby Emele, to roll out comprehensive arrangements for the conduct of the elections without delay.

The Governor made this known during a high-level engagement with traditional rulers at the Imo Council of Traditional Rulers’ Palace (Obi Ndi-Eze Imo) on Mbari Street, Ikenegbu, Owerri, on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The announcement was witnessed and confirmed by correspondents who were present at the meeting.

Governor Uzodimma explained that although the activities of Town Union Governments had earlier been placed under restriction, the prevailing need to revive community development structures, promote accountability, and ensure lawful leadership transitions necessitated the lifting of the ban.

He directed that the forthcoming elections must replace all interim or appointed Town Union executives, as well as officials whose tenures have elapsed, stressing that leadership at the community level must emerge strictly through democratic means.

The Governor further emphasized that all autonomous communities are required to conduct their elections in full compliance with their respective Town Union Constitutions and the Imo State Town Union Law, warning against shortcuts or violations of due process.

To ensure credibility and orderliness, the Ministry of Local Government and Chieftaincy Affairs is to work closely with the Ministry of Rural Development and Economic Empowerment, alongside the Association of Local Governments of Nigeria (ALGON), Imo State Chapter, in supervising the exercise.

Governor Uzodimma also frowned at the practice where some Local Government Chairmen reportedly appointed President-Generals for Town Unions, describing such actions as unconstitutional and unacceptable. He noted that concerns raised by traditional rulers at the meeting reinforced the need to restore proper democratic procedures at the community level.

Consequently, the Governor declared all Town Union leadership structures that emerged through appointments or elections conducted during the period of embargo as invalid, nullifying their legitimacy.

With the embargo lifted, communities across Imo State are now expected to commence preparations for transparent, credible, and constitutionally guided Town Union elections that will usher in authentic leadership and deepen participatory governance at the grassroots.

 

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Politics

APC Says It Will Take a Position on Fubara Impeachment Crisis at the Appropriate Time

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By Our Correspondent

 

The All Progressives Congress (APC has said it will announce its official position on the ongoing impeachment crisis involving Rivers State Governor, Siminalayi Fubara, when the time is right.

The party, through its spokesperson, stated that while it is closely monitoring political developments in Rivers State, it believes it is premature to take a definitive stance on the matter at this stage. According to the APC, the situation remains fluid and requires careful assessment before any public position is adopted.

The spokesperson emphasized that the party is committed to due process, constitutional order, and democratic principles, noting that impeachment is a serious legislative action that must be handled strictly within the confines of the law. The APC stressed that it would not be drawn into speculation or political sentiments surrounding the crisis.

He further explained that the party is consulting relevant stakeholders and reviewing events as they unfold to ensure that any eventual position reflects fairness, national interest, and respect for democratic institutions.

The APC also cautioned against actions that could heighten political tension or destabilize governance in the state.
The impeachment saga has continued to generate intense political debate, with opinions sharply divided across party lines and among political observers. As the situation evolves, many Nigerians are watching closely to see how major political parties, including the APC, will respond.

The APC reassured the public that it will speak clearly and responsibly on the matter when all necessary conditions have been considered and when its intervention would be most constructive.

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