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Inflation hits record high of 29.90% on naira weakness

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Inflation

Nigeria’s annual inflation rate reached 29.90 percent in January, the country’s statistics agency reported today as the naira continues to weaken.

The Consumer Price Index report released by the NBS showed that prices rose by 0.98 percent to 29.90percent in January 2024, compared with 28.92 percent in December.

“On a year-on-year basis, the headline inflation rate was 8.08 percent higher compared to the rate recorded in January 2023, which was 21.82 percent,” the report said.

This exceeds the Financial Derivatives Company projections that the headline inflation is likely to spike further to 29.73 percent.

it will be the thirteenth consecutive monthly increase and a record high

“The foremost inflation culprit in Nigeria today is the weakened currency. In January alone, the naira lost 21 percent, touching a record low of N1,530/$. This is largely because of the lingering disequilibrium in the forex market as dollar demand continues to outpace supply.,” the report said.

The FDC report mentioned that the persistent currency depreciation has led to increased costs of imported goods such as wheat, subsequently pushing up the prices of wheat-related products like noodles, semovita, and bread by 20.4 percent, 35.8 percent and 14.3 percent

, respectively.

They also revealed that food inflation, which constitutes 50 percent of the inflation rate, rose to 35.41 percent in January from 33.93 percent in December.

The rise in the Food inflation on a Month-on-Month basis was caused by a rise in the rate of increase in the average prices of Potatoes, Yam & Other Tubers, Bread and Cereals, Fish, Meat, To- bacco, and Vegetable.

A breakdown of the NBS’ latest consumer price index report shows that food and non-alcoholic beverages contributed the most (15.49 percent) to the increase in the headline index, followed by housing water, electricity, gas, and other fuel (5.00 percent), clothing and footwear (2.29 percent), transport (1.95 percent), furnishings and household equipment and maintenance (1.50 percent) and education (1.18 percent).

Others are health (0.90 percent), miscellaneous goods and services (0.50 percent), restaurants and hotels (0.36 percent), alcoholic beverages, tobacco and kola (0.33 percent), recreation and culture (0.21), and communication (0.20 percent).

Furthermore, On a year-on-year basis, in January 2024, the Urban inflation rate was 31.95 percent, this was 9.40 percent points higher compared to the 22.55 percent recorded in January 2023.

While the Rural inflation rate in January 2024 was 28.10 percent on a year-on-year basis; this was 6.97 percent higher compared to the 21.13 percent recorded in January 2023. On a month-on-month basis, the Rural inflation rate in January 2024 was 2.57 percent , up by 0.40 percent compared to December 2023.

Core inflation, which excludes the prices of volatile agricultural produces and energy stood Core inflation, which excludes the prices of volatile agricultural produces and energy stood at 23.59 percent in January 2024 on a year-on- year, up by 4.71 percent from 18.88 percent recorded in January 2023.

The highest increases were recorded in prices of Passenger Transport by Road, Medical Services, Passenger Transport by Air, Actual and Imputed Rentals for Housing, Pharmaceutical products, Accommodation services, etc.

Except for a brief pause in Dec 2022, Nigeria’s inflation reading has steadily increased since January 2023, a twelve -month consecutive high.

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Nigeria projected among top-five world’s biggest economies

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Nigeria has been projected to be among the top five biggest economies in the world by 2075.

The Spectator Index disclosed in a post on Friday, quoting a Goldman Sachs’ document titled ‘The Path to 2075—Slower global growth, but convergence remains intact’.

According to the news platform, Nigeria’s economy is estimated to reach $13.1 trillion by 2075.

The report showed that Nigeria followed China ($57 trillion), India ($52.5 trillion), the United States of America ($51.5 trillion), and Indonesia ($13.7 trillion) in projected world’s biggest economies by 2075.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product grew by 3.84 percent in the fourth quarter of 2024. The country’s GDP is estimated to be $568 billion at the end of 2024 in real GDP terms.

Africa’s most populous nation is expected to reach a GDP estimate that could be $585.9 billion.

The development comes as the President Bola Tinubu administration projects a $1 trillion economy by 2030.

Meanwhile, financial analysts had expressed doubts over the possibility of Nigeria achieving a $1 trillion economy by 2030 when the country’s projected GDP growth rate is 3.2 percent.

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Dangote Sugar, Oando, other stocks push NGX to N1.185tn gains

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Oando, Dangote Sugar and other stocks have propelled Nigerian Exchange Limited, known as the Nigerian Stock Market, to a significant N1.185 trillion single-day gain.

Accordingly, NGX market capitalisation increased by 1.57 percent to reach N76.761 trillion, up from N75.576 trillion recorded on Tuesday.

Similarly, the All-Share Index (ASI) rose by 1,466.87 points, or 1.22 percent, settling at 121,257.69 from its previous close of 119,790.82.

Other stocks that fueled the bullish run on Wednesday are Cileasing, Champion Breweries, and 59 other stocks.

Consequently, Ekwutosblog reports that market breadth closed positive, with 63 gainers and 17 losers.

On the gainers’ table, Dangote Sugar rose by 10 percent, closing at N48.40, while Oando Plc also increased by 10 percent, settling at N68.75 per share. Then, Cileasing grew by 9.98 percent, finishing at N5.18, and Champion Breweries soared by 9.98 percent, ending the session at N10.91 per share.

 

Also, Computer Warehouse Group gained by 9.95 percent, closing at N11.60 per share.

Meanwhile, conversely, University Press dropped by 6.25 percent, finishing at N6.00, while RT Briscoe fell by 6.12 percent, closing at N2.30 per share.

Multiverse Mining declined by 4.89 percent, settling at N8.75, and Meyer shed 4.69 percent, ending the session at N9.15 per share.

In another level of analysis, a total of 861.67 million shares worth N26.18 billion were exchanged across 22,896 transactions.

This is compared to 868.68 million shares worth N23.71 billion that were traded across 22,207 transactions earlier.

Market data showed that transactions in the shares of Fidelity Bank topped the activity chart with 82.98 million shares worth N1.66 billion. Accordingly, Caverton Offshore Support Group followed with 64.18 million shares valued at N319.69 million, while Zenith Bank transacted 60.62 million shares worth N3.45 billion.

Also, Ja Paul Gold traded 56.26 million shares valued at N115.35 million, and Access Corporation sold 48.59 million shares worth N1.12 billion.

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Naira continues depreciation against dollar at official forex market

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The naira continued depreciation against the dollar at the official foreign exchange market on Wednesday.

The Central Bank of Nigeria exchange rate data on Wednesday showed that the Naira weakened slightly to N1,549.26 on Wednesday from N1,549.04.

This means that the Naira marginally dropped by N0.22 against the dollar on Wednesday.

Ekwutosblog reports that this is the third time Naira has recorded depreciation against the dollar this week.

Meanwhile, at the Naira black market, the Naira gained N5 on Wednesday to close at N1,590 per dollar, up from N1,595 the previous day.

This showed that the naira ended Wednesday with sentiments at both foreign exchange markets.

 

Recall that on Monday and Tuesday this week, the Naira depreciated at the official market but has remained relatively stable at the black market.

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